Go read the entire thread. I suffered. You should, too.
PEOPLE WHO SHOULDN'T ATTEMPT MATH: Poor Mr. Ball throws up his hands at the mind-boggling numbers involved:
Well, we are into probability theory now, and we are both probably over our heads. But no, the odds of it all "just happening" are too astronomically high for a reasonable person to accept. I mean, they are astronomical.
This would be a variant on the well-known "tornado sweeping through a junkyard and building a 747" argument, or the painful (and hideously incorrect) calculation of the chance of a full amino acid springing forth from nothing, etc, etc, at which point wanks like Mr. Ball throw up their hands and conclude that, therefore, God is a more "reasonable" conclusion. Or is it?
If that's the case, I would like Mr. Ball to calculate the probability of God.
Seriously, given that mathematical illiterates like Mr. Ball clearly enjoy tossing around large numbers to allegedly demonstrate the improbability of the natural universe, it only makes sense that, if they want to present God as a more likely and more probable alternative, they should have done a similar statistical analysis on such a being.
So let's see it, Mr. Ball. Step by step, I would like to see your statistical analysis representing the existence of an omnipotent, omniscient being as is your Christian God. Please begin by describing such a being in suitably concrete and specific terms so that we can attach mathematical probabilities to each of the properties. Further, calculate the chances of those individual properties occurring in concert to eventually produce the Christian God. Be precise. Show your work. Because, until you do, you are, quite simply, full of shit.
Let's see some numbers, Mr. Ball.: The probability of the existence of God. Make sure you don't skip any steps, and those of us with a graduate background in mathematics will be happy to check your work and correct any of your mistakes.
Anytime you're ready, dude. We're waiting.